Santa Claus Rally? Or was it justt the Elves?

Ved Shah

December 15, 2025

Gold has surged past US$4,299 an ounce, the Fed has cut rates, and yet markets look uneasy rather than relieved. If easing is underway, why are Fed officials still sounding hawkish, and with 2026 rate cut probabilities below 40 percent, how much of gold's future is being built on assumptions that may never play out? Brian's got you covered here as he breaks down the Fed's messaging, rate expectations, and what actually matters for gold heading into 2026.

Silver is throwing up even harder questions. After tagging a record US$64.4 an ounce, are we looking at a classic profit taking zone, or is silver only just waking up to its industrial demand story? When momentum runs hot, discipline matters more than conviction. Brian unpacks whether this move is stretched or structural, and how investors should be thinking about silver from here.

Back home, the ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index is sitting at all time highs after a sharp run. Is this strength supported by fundamentals, or are gold equities quietly pricing in perfection? And as we move toward 2026, where does risk adjusted opportunity really sit across producers, developers, and explorers? Brian walks through how to frame valuations, sentiment, and positioning before the cycle turns.







GoldHub Australia is closely monitoring the market for great opportunities in gold producers and developers. Which specific producers and developers are they, you may ask? One way to do this is to consider signing up to Brian's gold investment and speculation newsletters, The Australian Gold Report or Gold Stock Pro, from Fat Tail Investment Research.

For a limited time, you can use the promo code PULLBACK25 to get 50% off the first year of subscription.




Brian contributes his insights on precious metals and mining stocks via free and paid newsletters with independent publisher, Fat Tail Investment Research. You can learn about his work by visiting www.daily.fattail.com.au. Fat Tail Investment Research is part of The Agora, a renowned international financial solutions publisher.

Disclaimer: None of our content constitutes financial advice nor endorsements and recommendations for any organisations, companies, and products. Please seek a professional financial adviser before you make any decisions arising from our videos, articles and other published material. All those featured in our videos express their opinions and may not reflect our views. We support freedom of speech, thought, and expression.

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