Gold is ticking higher again, closing the week at US$4,085/oz, up 2.07%, and holding firm in what looks like a classic consolidation phase inside a much bigger 2025 breakout. After bursting through US$4,000 and touching record highs above US$4,300 in October, gold is now up nearly 60% year-to-date, a move driven by deep concerns over US debt, currency debasement, and relentless central-bank buying. With markets now pricing in a December rate cut as the most likely outcome, real yields have slipped and ETF inflows remain strong. But here's the big question: is gold preparing for another vertical leg, or is this where sentiment starts to crack?
Silver added even more momentum, surging 5.38% to US$50.53/oz in a classic high-beta follow-through. Record industrial demand from solar, EVs and electronics is tightening the market, even as analysts warn that speculative longs are getting crowded. So, is silver flashing strength, and what's the strange correlation between silver and gold mining stocks? Brian unpacks it all.
Oil stayed flat near US$59.94, even after dipping close to US$58 mid-week. New projections from both OPEC and the IEA point to a looming surplus by 2026, a stark shift from last year's "tight market" narrative.
Back home, the ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index ripped to 17,119, climbing more than 1,180 points in one week. Producers and developers alike surged as global and local funds rotated aggressively into gold names. Northern Star, Newmont, and Evolution led the charge, but the real fireworks happened in the speculative end of the market. Developers and explorers like Antilles, Kalgoorlie and Alicanto jumped 8–16%, pushing the Speculative Gold Stocks Index to 81, one of its highest readings in the last few weeks. Is this real value emerging, or pure FOMO chasing late-cycle momentum? How is The Australian Gold Fund positioned in this context? Brian goes deep.
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